Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.078641 0.093403 0.109963 0.129887 0.153177 0.179510 0.211510
2025-02-23 0.058129 0.077760 0.102296 0.135078 0.177582 0.230666 0.301811
2025-03-02 0.042917 0.063209 0.090869 0.131037 0.187532 0.263752 0.373891
2025-03-09 0.034227 0.054650 0.084580 0.131142 0.201143 0.301692 0.456066
2025-03-16 0.027603 0.047348 0.078191 0.129158 0.210346 0.333438 0.532499
2025-03-23 0.023730 0.043375 0.075841 0.132406 0.227169 0.377718 0.632306
2025-03-30 0.019937 0.038693 0.071373 0.131191 0.236199 0.410366 0.717214
2025-04-06 0.016643 0.034193 0.066343 0.127989 0.241043 0.436226 0.793409
2025-04-13 0.013851 0.030056 0.061197 0.123606 0.242893 0.456751 0.862281
2025-04-20 0.012344 0.028151 0.059867 0.126003 0.257179 0.500386 0.976351
2025-04-27 0.010923 0.026137 0.057967 0.126926 0.268629 0.539898 1.086931
2025-05-04 0.009669 0.024240 0.055977 0.127304 0.278920 0.578146 1.198959
2025-05-11 0.008668 0.022762 0.054710 0.129159 0.292764 0.625426 1.335021
2025-05-18 0.008019 0.022001 0.054912 0.134259 0.314135 0.690184 1.513260
2025-05-25 0.006863 0.019741 0.051305 0.130227 0.315170 0.713391 1.609094
2025-06-01 0.006114 0.018382 0.049600 0.130328 0.325370 0.756860 1.751912
2025-06-08 0.005361 0.016847 0.047196 0.128354 0.330471 0.789746 1.875260
2025-06-15 0.004948 0.016187 0.046908 0.131583 0.348269 0.852578 2.070973
2025-06-22 0.004395 0.014993 0.045009 0.130375 0.355066 0.891078 2.215633
2025-06-29 0.003838 0.013666 0.042512 0.127191 0.356461 0.917085 2.334041
2025-07-06 0.003316 0.012328 0.039749 0.122835 0.354225 0.934117 2.432914
2025-07-13 0.003069 0.011845 0.039400 0.125218 0.370114 0.996993 2.648683
2025-07-20 0.002804 0.011242 0.038587 0.126135 0.382146 1.051500 2.849229